Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.577035 4.168079 4.795051 5.506537 6.288387 7.118360 8.062963
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.746732 3.566727 4.499031 5.624050 6.931396 8.389875 10.126876
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.058242 2.978161 4.096606 5.524312 7.266244 9.291870 11.794079
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.545239 2.494567 3.727043 5.384704 7.496787 10.041776 13.282442
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.202828 2.160571 3.483375 5.348064 7.814601 10.876521 14.873176
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.932403 1.869778 3.246917 5.277031 8.056486 11.599979 16.326507
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.804737 1.767232 3.252867 5.519504 8.703488 12.842226 18.448966
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.654078 1.594468 3.128172 5.556186 9.059718 13.705350 20.098119
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.583264 1.545246 3.182509 5.847100 9.768208 15.042359 22.381022
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.511943 1.479426 3.199004 6.074974 10.388280 16.269578 24.539234
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.431028 1.375932 3.138352 6.174018 10.819131 17.243426 26.374668
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.340006 1.227037 2.979278 6.101305 10.987582 17.852452 27.725930
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.288466 1.157222 2.957316 6.253097 11.503732 18.970968 29.808692
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.238566 1.076754 2.905023 6.348687 11.935406 19.978927 31.759441
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.177688 0.943803 2.732188 6.224641 12.020079 20.491055 33.035171
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.127287 0.816573 2.549849 6.065582 12.036333 20.897383 34.164121
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094871 0.730116 2.439151 6.022282 12.228620 21.557567 35.652799
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.067791 0.644784 2.315960 5.943454 12.355006 22.117657 37.003667
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059751 0.636919 2.372754 6.205886 13.047917 23.531032 39.585660
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045085 0.585837 2.316503 6.245288 13.368330 24.389171 41.383034
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041089 0.589861 2.399335 6.560476 14.159353 25.969183 44.236467
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.035588 0.580986 2.447200 6.807151 14.838855 27.388853 46.873720
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027659 0.548326 2.427008 6.914292 15.280983 28.451663 49.005027